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Futures Thinking Methodologies

by: Jonas Svava Iversen,
type: Articles
in: 26 Futurist Tools

There are numerous papers and books on methodologies and use of future-oriented work: But many of these studies either focus on only one methodology and/or are not very user friendly in their presentation of the methodologies described. The aim of this paper is therefore to give a comprehensive and use/user oriented view of a range of methodologies within area of research and studies of trends and driving forces that may shape the future. In this particular context, the term ‘methodology’ covers both the actual methods used and the approach to the design of a future study (i.e. how different methods may be combined.). The main theme will be scenario development, but since this is a quite ambiguous concept it is often hard to draw the line between scenario methodologies and other future-oriented methodologies. We will therefore not only focus on scenario methodology per se, but also on the wide variety of futureoriented methodologies that are often used as a basis for scenario development.more....

Scenario and Visioning Work

by: Co-Intelligence Institute,
type: Articles
in: 26 Futurist Tools

In our scenario and visioning work, we need to clarify whether our focus is to find one image of or pathway to the future or to create forums for generating many of them. In my understanding, the processes involved in generating one overarching vision and many diverse visions are different (although similar and in no way mutually exclusive).

We may work on one image, just to show that a good future is truly possible. Or we may create multiple visions to open a space of possibility that may have juice for diverse people, projects or perspectives. Or we may generate a very generalized vision which inspires diverse people to create their own specific version of that. And so on. more....

The Future Belongs to Those Who…

by: Institute for Alternative Futures,
type: Articles
in: 26 Futurist Tools

A GUIDE FOR THINKING ABOUT THE FUTURE
more....

TOC and TRIZ: Using a dual-methodological approach to solve a forest

by: Ian Conradie, Ingeser Consultores, Triz-Journal,
type: Articles
in: 26 Futurist Tools

Although cut-to-length forest harvesting with harvesters and forwarders is hardly used in some parts of the world, it has many advantages over conventional harvesting systems. Research has shown that the core reason for the low adoption of CTL in the southeastern USA is the complexity of the equipment to optimize value recovery. In this paper we delve deeper into this problem by investigating the technical and physical contradictions responsible for this situation. A dual-methodological approach was followed to analyze and solve the problem using the Theory of Constraints (TOC) and the Theory of Inventive Problem Solving (TRIZ). A solution is to apply one of the innovative principles of TRIZ: Mechanics substitution. We believe that this dual-methodological approach can be used to great effect to solve many more technical and non-technical forest operations or other problems.more....